Estimating the Propagation of Interdependent Cascading Outages with Multi-Type Branching Processes

In this paper, the multi-type branching process is applied to describe the statistics and interdependencies of line outages, the load shed, and isolated buses. The offspring mean matrix of the multi-type branching process is estimated by the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm and can quantify the extent of outage propagation. The joint distribution of two types of outages is estimated by the multi-type branching process via the Lagrange-Good inversion. The proposed model is tested with data generated by the AC OPA cascading simulations on the IEEE 118-bus system. The largest eigenvalues of the offspring mean matrix indicate that the system is closer to criticality when considering the interdependence of different types of outages. Compared with empirically estimating the joint distribution of the total outages, good estimate is obtained by using the multitype branching process with a much smaller number of cascades, thus greatly improving the efficiency. It is shown that the multitype branching process can effectively predict the distribution of the load shed and isolated buses and their conditional largest possible total outages even when there are no data of them.Comment: Accepted by IEEE Transactions on Power System

Simultaneously continuous retraction and Bishop-Phelps-Bollob\'as type theorem

We study the existence of a retraction from the dual space $X^*$ of a (real or complex) Banach space $X$ onto its unit ball $B_{X^*}$ which is uniformly continuous in norm topology and continuous in weak-$*$ topology. Such a retraction is called a uniformly simultaneously continuous retraction. It is shown that if $X$ has a normalized unconditional Schauder basis with unconditional basis constant 1 and $X^*$ is uniformly monotone, then a uniformly simultaneously continuous retraction from $X^*$ onto $B_{X^*}$ exists. It is also shown that if $\{X_i\}$ is a family of separable Banach spaces whose duals are uniformly convex with moduli of convexity $\delta_i(\varepsilon)$ such that $\inf_i \delta_i(\varepsilon)>0$ and $X= \left[\bigoplus X_i\right]_{c_0}$ or $X=\left[\bigoplus X_i\right]_{\ell_p}$ for $1\le p<\infty$, then a uniformly simultaneously continuous retraction exists from $X^*$ onto $B_{X^*}$. The relation between the existence of a uniformly simultaneously continuous retraction and the Bishsop-Phelps-Bollob\'as property for operators is investigated and it is proved that the existence of a uniformly simultaneously continuous retraction from $X^*$ onto its unit ball implies that a pair $(X, C_0(K))$ has the Bishop-Phelps-Bollob\'as property for every locally compact Hausdorff spaces $K$. As a corollary, we prove that $(C_0(S), C_0(K))$ has the Bishop-Phelps-Bollob\'as property if $C_0(S)$ and $C_0(K)$ are the spaces of all real-valued continuous functions vanishing at infinity on locally compact metric space $S$ and locally compact Hausdorff space $K$ respectively.Comment: 15 page